Town long odds-on but, as ever, value lies elsewhere
It will come as no surprise to learn that all three of our recommendations went down on Tuesday as the Hatters were beaten at home by Braintree Town.
The Iron could be backed at 15/2 to pull off an away win and the 3-2 victory for the visitors left Town backers ripping up their slips left, right and centre after a dramatic and controversial under the floodlights at Kenilworth Road.
However, as Paul Buckle says in his programme notes on Saturday for the visit of Nuneaton, the most important thing in football is to accept what happens and move on.
The boss will be hoping his can side can bounce back to winning ways against Boro, but punters won’t get rich backing the Town outright to win in 90 minutes at 30/100 with league sponsors Blue Square. Nuneaton are one of the biggest prices of any team in domestic football to earn three points this weekend at 8/1. The draw is a 7/2 chance.
With Stuart Fleetwood serving a one-match ban following his sending off on Tuesday, all eyes will be on the strikers to fill the void left by the Town’s top goal getter. Second top goalscorer Scott Rendell could return to the side having missed the Braintree defeat with a dead leg. At 9/2 to score the first goal he represents the value – should he start. Fellow frontmen Jon Shaw and Andre Gray are 100/30 and 4/1 respectively. Dan Walker, who briefly got the Town on level terms in the week is also 9/2 to score first.
Despite being reduced to 10 men on Tuesday the Town had the better of the chances and bossed possession against the Iron and still managed to score twice.
If Paul Buckle’s side can finish the game with 11 men on the pitch you would fancy their chances against a Nuneaton side without a win in seven games. It’s just shy of odds on at 5/6 that the Hatters can win giving Boro at goal head-start in the handicap market.
There’s no doubt that Tuesday’s defeat will still hurt those in orange shirts and it might be worth backing the first goal of the game to be scored in the first 15 minutes at 6/4 with the Town eager to get the Braintree game out of their system as early as possible on Saturday.
The Hatters score on average exactly two goals when playing at Kenilworth Road but they are yet to score more than four in a game. 5-0 can be backed at 28/1.
Our Remember you can earn both yourself and the Hatters money by backing us through Blue Square. Visit www.bluesq.com/fans.
Town -1 on the handicap 5/6
First goal to be scored between 1-15 mins 6/4
Town 5-0 28/1
Our tipster is showing a +£11.50 profit (to a £1 level stake) on his selections this season, including a 25/1 correct score tip back in September.